Juventus vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.6%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.3%
3-0
7%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
8%
3-1
8%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.3%
14.1%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juventus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 1938 |
ASL
1 - 0
JUV
17%
23%
60%
|
86 | 68 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1938 |
ACM
1 - 1
JUV
47%
24%
29%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1938 |
JUV
0 - 1
ACL
78%
13%
9%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1938 |
BOL
0 - 0
JUV
54%
22%
23%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1938 |
TRI
2 - 0
JUV
37%
26%
37%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 1938 |
MOD
2 - 3
ACL
45%
23%
32%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 1932 |
LAZ
9 - 1
MOD
59%
20%
21%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1932 |
MOD
2 - 1
USA
45%
23%
32%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1932 |
FIO
5 - 0
MOD
75%
14%
12%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1932 |
MOD
0 - 1
JUV
26%
23%
51%
|
68 | 89 | 21 | 0 |