Juventus vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.6%
Win probability
3.44
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.2%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.7%
5-0
5.4%
6-1
2.7%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
8.7%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
4.7%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.9%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
6.8%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.3%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16%
9.6%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
4%
2-2
3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
9.6%
5.7%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juventus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec. 1931 |
JUV
1 - 2
LAZ
74%
16%
11%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1931 |
TOR
0 - 0
JUV
41%
23%
36%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1931 |
BOL
1 - 1
JUV
55%
22%
23%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1931 |
JUV
4 - 1
LEO
72%
17%
11%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1931 |
TRI
0 - 1
JUV
26%
26%
49%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec. 1931 |
MOD
4 - 1
CAS
66%
18%
16%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1931 |
NAP
4 - 1
MOD
72%
15%
13%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 1931 |
BAR
1 - 0
MOD
44%
22%
34%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1931 |
MOD
0 - 0
BOL
36%
25%
40%
|
69 | 86 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1931 |
ACM
5 - 0
MOD
69%
16%
15%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | -1 |