Juventus vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.4%
Win probability
2.86
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.6%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.8%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.8%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.9%
2-0
10%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.8%
13.2%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
6%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.2%
8.3%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juventus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 1931 |
JUV
3 - 1
LAZ
77%
14%
9%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1931 |
TOR
1 - 1
JUV
36%
25%
39%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1931 |
BOL
4 - 0
JUV
48%
23%
29%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1931 |
JUV
4 - 0
TRI
81%
12%
7%
|
89 | 69 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1931 |
NAP
1 - 2
JUV
40%
24%
36%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 1931 |
MOD
5 - 1
CAS
82%
12%
7%
|
73 | 57 | 16 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1931 |
LEO
3 - 0
MOD
62%
18%
21%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1931 |
UNI
6 - 2
MOD
31%
25%
45%
|
75 | 57 | 18 | -2 |
| 11 May. 1931 |
ACM
3 - 1
MOD
66%
17%
17%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1931 |
MOD
0 - 2
BOL
43%
24%
33%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |