Juventus vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.5%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
13.2%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juventus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2018 |
JUV
3 - 1
BOL
84%
13%
3%
|
92 | 76 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
INT
2 - 3
JUV
30%
26%
44%
|
91 | 88 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
JUV
0 - 1
NAP
46%
25%
29%
|
92 | 91 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2018 |
CRO
1 - 1
JUV
8%
18%
74%
|
92 | 72 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
JUV
3 - 0
SAM
75%
17%
8%
|
92 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2018 |
ACM
4 - 1
VER
70%
20%
10%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
BOL
1 - 2
ACM
25%
24%
51%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
ACM
0 - 1
BEN
77%
17%
6%
|
86 | 63 | 23 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2018 |
TOR
1 - 1
ACM
49%
23%
28%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
ACM
0 - 0
NAP
21%
24%
55%
|
86 | 91 | 5 | 0 |