Juventus vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.6%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
22.2%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juventus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2003 |
JUV
0 - 0
ACM
57%
22%
22%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2003 |
JUV
4 - 3
CHI
73%
17%
10%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2003 |
REG
2 - 1
JUV
18%
26%
56%
|
90 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2003 |
JUV
3 - 1
RMA
39%
25%
37%
|
90 | 92 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2003 |
JUV
2 - 2
PRG
69%
19%
12%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2003 |
ACM
2 - 2
ROM
54%
24%
22%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2003 |
JUV
0 - 0
ACM
57%
22%
22%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2003 |
PIA
4 - 2
ACM
27%
27%
47%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2003 |
ROM
1 - 4
ACM
54%
24%
22%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2003 |
ACM
3 - 1
BOL
66%
21%
14%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |