Coppa Italia Final
Global 1-0
Juventus vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.4%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
25.1%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juventus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 1990 |
JUV
1 - 1
GEN
82%
14%
5%
|
89 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1990 |
ATL
1 - 2
JUV
20%
26%
54%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1990 |
ROM
3 - 2
JUV
34%
27%
38%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1990 |
JUV
1 - 0
LAZ
80%
15%
6%
|
89 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1990 |
BAR
1 - 1
JUV
16%
25%
59%
|
89 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 1990 |
ROM
0 - 4
ACM
29%
29%
42%
|
91 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1990 |
ACM
2 - 1
USC
81%
14%
5%
|
91 | 71 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1990 |
NAP
1 - 3
ACM
50%
26%
24%
|
91 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1990 |
ACM
3 - 0
NAP
58%
25%
18%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 1990 |
FIO
2 - 3
ACM
28%
29%
43%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | 0 |