Juventus vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.7%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.5%
24.8%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juventus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 1958 |
FIO
3 - 3
JUV
52%
22%
26%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1958 |
JUV
4 - 3
TOR
75%
15%
10%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 1958 |
ROM
3 - 0
JUV
39%
23%
38%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 1958 |
JUV
2 - 0
NAP
72%
16%
12%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1958 |
PAD
1 - 4
JUV
39%
23%
37%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 1958 |
ACM
1 - 1
INT
72%
16%
13%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1958 |
VIC
2 - 0
ACM
27%
23%
50%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1958 |
ACM
5 - 1
USA
82%
11%
7%
|
86 | 67 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1958 |
SAM
0 - 0
ACM
37%
23%
40%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1958 |
ACM
4 - 2
BAR
81%
12%
8%
|
86 | 67 | 19 | 0 |