Juventus vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.5%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.6%
29.9%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juventus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 1958 |
JUV
4 - 1
TOR
72%
16%
12%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1958 |
PAD
1 - 1
JUV
44%
23%
33%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1958 |
JUV
3 - 1
SPA
75%
15%
11%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1958 |
GEN
1 - 3
JUV
34%
25%
42%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1958 |
JUV
2 - 0
UDI
64%
18%
18%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 1958 |
ACM
1 - 1
UDI
76%
14%
10%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1958 |
ACM
4 - 1
BVB
85%
10%
5%
|
86 | 57 | 29 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1958 |
ACM
2 - 2
INT
71%
16%
13%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1958 |
SAM
0 - 2
ACM
30%
23%
47%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1958 |
BVB
1 - 1
ACM
28%
21%
50%
|
86 | 56 | 30 | 0 |