Juventus vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.2%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
19.3%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juventus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 1942 |
JUV
2 - 3
LAZ
60%
20%
20%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1942 |
MAT
1 - 6
JUV
21%
22%
57%
|
82 | 16 | 66 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 1942 |
JUV
4 - 1
ACM
63%
20%
18%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 1942 |
ACM
1 - 1
JUV
59%
20%
22%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1942 |
JUV
1 - 1
BOL
55%
23%
23%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 1942 |
LIV
2 - 3
ACM
43%
24%
33%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1942 |
PAD
3 - 5
ACM
47%
23%
30%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 1942 |
JUV
4 - 1
ACM
63%
20%
18%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Jun. 1942 |
ACM
1 - 1
JUV
59%
20%
22%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1942 |
ACM
0 - 2
LIV
74%
14%
12%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |