Juventus vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.5%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
17.9%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juventus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 1942 |
ACM
1 - 1
JUV
59%
20%
22%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1942 |
JUV
1 - 1
BOL
55%
23%
23%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1942 |
NAP
4 - 1
JUV
31%
24%
44%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1942 |
JUV
1 - 1
MOD
73%
16%
12%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1942 |
LIV
1 - 2
JUV
34%
24%
42%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 1942 |
ACM
1 - 1
JUV
59%
20%
22%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1942 |
ACM
0 - 2
LIV
74%
14%
12%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1942 |
INT
2 - 2
ACM
58%
21%
21%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1942 |
ACM
2 - 5
LAZ
64%
19%
17%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 May. 1942 |
ACL
1 - 0
ACM
38%
24%
38%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |