Juventus vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.8%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
12.3%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juventus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Dec. 1938 |
PAD
1 - 3
JUV
36%
26%
38%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1938 |
NOV
0 - 0
JUV
21%
24%
55%
|
85 | 66 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1938 |
JUV
1 - 0
LAZ
61%
20%
18%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1938 |
BOL
1 - 0
JUV
57%
22%
21%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1938 |
JUV
2 - 1
LIV
71%
17%
12%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Dec. 1938 |
ACM
4 - 0
ANC
81%
12%
6%
|
79 | 20 | 59 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1938 |
ACM
0 - 0
ACL
56%
21%
23%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1938 |
ACM
0 - 0
TOR
55%
24%
22%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1938 |
NOV
2 - 1
ACM
40%
24%
36%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1938 |
ACM
3 - 0
LAZ
49%
23%
28%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |