Juventus vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.4%
Win probability
2.92
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.1%
4-0
7%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.3%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.2%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.3%
12.7%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
12.7%
7.8%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juventus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 1934 |
BRE
1 - 2
JUV
32%
27%
41%
|
90 | 74 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1934 |
GEN
0 - 2
JUV
36%
26%
38%
|
90 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1934 |
JUV
0 - 0
INT
73%
16%
12%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1934 |
FIO
2 - 2
JUV
35%
27%
38%
|
90 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1934 |
JUV
2 - 0
NAP
77%
14%
9%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 1934 |
ACM
3 - 0
USA
63%
19%
18%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1934 |
TOR
3 - 3
ACM
55%
22%
23%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1934 |
ACM
0 - 1
TRI
68%
18%
14%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 1934 |
ROM
1 - 1
ACM
63%
21%
17%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1934 |
ACM
1 - 2
INT
49%
24%
27%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |