Juventus vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.2%
Win probability
2.91
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6%
4-0
7%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.2%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.2%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.4%
12.8%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12.8%
8%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juventus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 1933 |
JUV
5 - 0
PAL
91%
6%
3%
|
90 | 69 | 21 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1933 |
BOL
1 - 2
JUV
56%
22%
22%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1933 |
JUV
5 - 0
FIO
84%
10%
6%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 May. 1933 |
INT
2 - 2
JUV
59%
21%
20%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1933 |
TRI
0 - 1
JUV
33%
27%
40%
|
89 | 70 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 1933 |
LAZ
2 - 0
ACM
42%
26%
33%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1933 |
ACM
0 - 3
BOL
48%
24%
28%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 May. 1933 |
TOR
0 - 0
ACM
58%
21%
21%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1933 |
ACM
3 - 3
USA
67%
18%
15%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1933 |
FIO
5 - 1
ACM
58%
21%
21%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |