Juventus vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.6%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.3%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.6%
14.8%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juventus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 1929 |
TOR
0 - 0
JUV
39%
24%
37%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1929 |
JUV
1 - 0
MOD
79%
13%
8%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1929 |
USA
1 - 0
JUV
29%
24%
47%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1929 |
JUV
6 - 1
LEO
77%
14%
9%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1929 |
JUV
1 - 0
PRO
80%
13%
8%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 1929 |
ACM
2 - 1
LAZ
58%
21%
21%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1929 |
LIV
4 - 1
ACM
19%
19%
62%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1929 |
ACM
1 - 2
INT
51%
22%
26%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 1929 |
BOL
1 - 1
ACM
58%
20%
21%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1929 |
ACM
3 - 1
ROM
59%
20%
21%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | +1 |