Juventus vs Lucchese Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.1%
Win probability
3.64
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.2%
7-0
1.9%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.8%
6-0
3.7%
7-1
1.6%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.6%
5-0
6.1%
6-1
3.1%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
+5
9.9%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
5.1%
6-2
1.3%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
14.9%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
6.9%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.7%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.5%
8.2%
Draw
0-0
1.1%
1-1
3.5%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
8.2%
4.5%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
3.3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juventus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 1951 |
SAM
2 - 1
JUV
31%
23%
46%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1951 |
JUV
5 - 1
UDI
88%
8%
4%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1951 |
PRO
1 - 3
JUV
27%
23%
49%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1951 |
TRI
0 - 3
JUV
22%
23%
55%
|
87 | 71 | 16 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 1951 |
JUV
7 - 1
ATL
87%
9%
5%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 1951 |
ASL
1 - 1
NOV
53%
23%
24%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1951 |
TRI
3 - 1
ASL
49%
24%
27%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 1951 |
ASL
0 - 0
FIO
48%
24%
28%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 1951 |
LAZ
3 - 0
ASL
69%
17%
14%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 1951 |
ASL
0 - 1
PAD
60%
20%
19%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | -1 |