Juventus vs Lucchese Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.7%
Win probability
2.84
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.9%
3-0
8%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.8%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14.4%
10.9%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juventus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 1949 |
INT
1 - 1
JUV
56%
21%
23%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1949 |
JUV
5 - 1
SAM
68%
17%
15%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 1949 |
TOR
3 - 1
JUV
82%
11%
7%
|
85 | 91 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 1949 |
JUV
1 - 0
ATL
80%
13%
7%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 1949 |
NOV
0 - 0
JUV
22%
24%
54%
|
85 | 68 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 1949 |
ASL
0 - 1
LIV
58%
21%
22%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1949 |
ACM
4 - 0
ASL
73%
15%
12%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1949 |
ASL
6 - 2
PAL
58%
21%
21%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1949 |
ASL
1 - 1
TOR
23%
24%
54%
|
73 | 91 | 18 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 1949 |
LAZ
2 - 1
ASL
60%
20%
21%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | -1 |