Juventus vs Lucchese Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
91.2%
Win probability
4.01
Expected goals
10-0
0.3%
+10
0.3%
9-0
0.7%
10-1
0.2%
+9
0.8%
8-0
1.5%
9-1
0.5%
10-2
0.1%
+8
2%
7-0
3%
8-1
1%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
4.2%
6-0
5.2%
7-1
2.1%
8-2
0.4%
9-3
<0%
+6
7.7%
5-0
7.8%
6-1
3.6%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
+5
12.2%
4-0
9.7%
5-1
5.4%
6-2
1.3%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
16.6%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
6.8%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.7%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.7%
5.9%
Draw
0-0
0.9%
1-1
2.5%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
5.9%
2.7%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
0.6%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
2%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
2-5
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juventus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 1936 |
BAR
1 - 1
JUV
26%
25%
49%
|
87 | 69 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1936 |
USA
3 - 2
JUV
43%
24%
33%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1936 |
JUV
1 - 0
BRE
80%
13%
8%
|
87 | 69 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1936 |
JUV
7 - 2
SAM
84%
10%
6%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1936 |
ACM
2 - 1
JUV
41%
25%
34%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 1936 |
ASL
1 - 1
FIO
31%
24%
45%
|
60 | 80 | 20 | 0 |