Inter-Cities Fairs Cup Last 16
Global 4-3
Juventus vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.5%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.8%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.3%
9.1%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juventus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 1965 |
LAZ
0 - 2
JUV
22%
27%
51%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1965 |
JUV
1 - 1
TOR
64%
21%
15%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1965 |
SAM
1 - 0
JUV
26%
26%
48%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1965 |
LEC
0 - 2
JUV
28%
25%
48%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1965 |
JUV
1 - 0
FIO
53%
24%
24%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 1965 |
LPL
0 - 1
SPA
57%
22%
22%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1965 |
CVA
0 - 0
LPL
55%
22%
23%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1965 |
LPL
0 - 0
BOT
52%
22%
26%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1965 |
SPA
2 - 0
LPL
33%
28%
39%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 1965 |
BER
1 - 1
LPL
54%
21%
25%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | -1 |