Inter-Cities Fairs Cup Last 16
Global 4-3
Juventus vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.8%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.8%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.8%
12.4%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juventus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 1965 |
MAN
1 - 0
JUV
21%
26%
53%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1965 |
JUV
4 - 1
CAT
69%
18%
13%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1965 |
CAG
1 - 0
JUV
21%
26%
53%
|
86 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1965 |
JUV
1 - 0
MES
75%
16%
9%
|
86 | 68 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1965 |
VIC
1 - 3
JUV
27%
26%
47%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 1964 |
LPL
2 - 0
PET
60%
22%
18%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1964 |
PET
1 - 0
LPL
51%
23%
26%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 1964 |
DUN
3 - 4
LPL
39%
27%
34%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1964 |
LPL
2 - 0
VOJ
56%
22%
22%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1964 |
LPL
3 - 3
SSO
55%
22%
24%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |