Juventus vs Livorno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.4%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.2%
3-0
7%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
8%
3-1
8%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.4%
14.2%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juventus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 1943 |
INT
3 - 1
JUV
54%
22%
24%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1943 |
BOL
2 - 2
JUV
62%
19%
18%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 1943 |
JUV
2 - 4
LAZ
65%
18%
17%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 1943 |
ATL
0 - 2
JUV
38%
25%
37%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1943 |
JUV
4 - 1
ACL
81%
12%
7%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 1943 |
LIV
0 - 0
TRI
61%
21%
18%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1943 |
BAR
1 - 1
LIV
33%
25%
42%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1943 |
LIV
1 - 0
BOL
43%
25%
32%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 1943 |
LAZ
0 - 1
LIV
64%
18%
17%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1943 |
LIV
1 - 1
ATL
58%
21%
21%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |