Juventus vs Livorno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.1%
Win probability
2.76
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.5%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.8%
11%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juventus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 1937 |
FIO
2 - 2
JUV
37%
26%
37%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1937 |
TRI
1 - 0
JUV
35%
25%
40%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1937 |
JUV
2 - 0
ACM
73%
16%
11%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1937 |
JUV
1 - 1
NOV
88%
8%
4%
|
86 | 64 | 22 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1937 |
SAM
2 - 6
JUV
29%
25%
46%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 1935 |
TOR
1 - 0
LIV
64%
18%
18%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1935 |
LIV
0 - 0
SAM
45%
23%
32%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1935 |
NAP
1 - 1
LIV
63%
20%
18%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | +1 |
| 13 May. 1935 |
LIV
3 - 1
BRE
51%
23%
26%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1935 |
FIO
0 - 1
LIV
62%
20%
18%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | +1 |