Juventus vs Livorno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.8%
Win probability
3.23
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.7%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.3%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.4%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.5%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.6%
11.4%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11.4%
7.7%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juventus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 1935 |
INT
0 - 0
JUV
59%
19%
22%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1935 |
JUV
6 - 1
LAZ
80%
12%
8%
|
89 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1935 |
TOR
1 - 3
JUV
41%
25%
34%
|
89 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1935 |
JUV
4 - 0
SAM
86%
9%
5%
|
89 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1935 |
NAP
0 - 0
JUV
39%
26%
35%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 1935 |
LIV
1 - 0
USA
43%
24%
33%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1935 |
BOL
4 - 0
LIV
75%
14%
10%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 1935 |
TRI
1 - 2
LIV
61%
20%
19%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 1935 |
LIV
0 - 3
PAL
52%
22%
26%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 1935 |
INT
5 - 1
LIV
80%
12%
8%
|
67 | 85 | 18 | 0 |