Juventus vs Livorno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
90.1%
Win probability
4.04
Expected goals
10-0
0.3%
+10
0.3%
9-0
0.6%
10-1
0.2%
+9
0.8%
8-0
1.4%
9-1
0.5%
10-2
0.1%
+8
2%
7-0
2.7%
8-1
1.1%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
4.1%
6-0
4.8%
7-1
2.2%
8-2
0.4%
9-3
0.1%
+6
7.5%
5-0
7.1%
6-1
3.8%
7-2
0.9%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
11.9%
4-0
8.8%
5-1
5.7%
6-2
1.5%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
16.2%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
7%
5-2
2.3%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.4%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
12%
6.3%
Draw
0-0
0.8%
1-1
2.6%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
6.3%
3.2%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
0.6%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
2.4%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juventus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 1933 |
GEN
3 - 2
JUV
41%
26%
33%
|
90 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 1933 |
JUV
3 - 0
ACM
79%
13%
8%
|
90 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 1933 |
JUV
5 - 0
PAL
91%
6%
3%
|
90 | 69 | 21 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1933 |
BOL
1 - 2
JUV
56%
22%
22%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1933 |
JUV
5 - 0
FIO
84%
10%
6%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 1931 |
LIV
1 - 1
JUV
25%
25%
51%
|
65 | 89 | 24 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 1931 |
LIV
2 - 1
UNI
71%
17%
13%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1931 |
MOD
4 - 1
LIV
60%
19%
21%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Jun. 1931 |
LIV
1 - 0
USA
45%
24%
32%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 1931 |
LIV
3 - 2
TRI
47%
23%
30%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | +1 |