Champions League Quarter-finals
Global 1-2
Juventus vs Liverpool analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.5%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
15.2%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juventus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2005 |
FIO
3 - 3
JUV
18%
26%
56%
|
91 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2005 |
LIV
2 - 1
JUV
31%
29%
40%
|
92 | 87 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2005 |
JUV
1 - 0
REG
79%
15%
7%
|
92 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2005 |
CHI
0 - 1
JUV
19%
26%
56%
|
91 | 79 | 12 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2005 |
JUV
2 - 0
RMA
41%
25%
33%
|
91 | 93 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2005 |
MAC
1 - 0
LIV
38%
27%
35%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2005 |
LIV
2 - 1
JUV
31%
29%
40%
|
87 | 92 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2005 |
LIV
1 - 0
BOL
52%
25%
23%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2005 |
LIV
2 - 1
EVE
52%
25%
23%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2005 |
LIV
0 - 0
BBU
56%
25%
20%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |