Juventus vs Lecce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.6%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
+4
9.1%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.5%
2-0
16%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.2%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
23.4%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.1%
6.3%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juventus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 1989 |
ROM
1 - 0
JUV
33%
27%
41%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1989 |
JUV
1 - 1
CES
80%
15%
6%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 1989 |
CHE
0 - 1
JUV
35%
26%
39%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1989 |
USC
2 - 2
JUV
13%
24%
63%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1989 |
JUV
1 - 1
NAP
54%
26%
20%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 1989 |
LEC
1 - 1
ASC
45%
28%
27%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1989 |
BOL
2 - 1
LEC
60%
23%
17%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1989 |
LEC
0 - 0
SAM
24%
30%
47%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1989 |
ACM
2 - 0
LEC
78%
16%
6%
|
75 | 89 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1989 |
LEC
2 - 1
USC
57%
25%
18%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |