Coppa Italia Semi-finals
Global 2-3
Juventus vs Lazio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.1%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
14.4%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juventus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
JUV
4 - 0
UDI
68%
19%
13%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
PAR
1 - 1
JUV
25%
26%
49%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2013 |
JUV
2 - 1
ACM
52%
23%
24%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
JUV
1 - 2
SAM
79%
15%
6%
|
90 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2012 |
CAG
1 - 3
JUV
18%
25%
56%
|
90 | 76 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
PAL
2 - 2
LAZ
37%
25%
38%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
LAZ
2 - 0
ATL
66%
21%
13%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2013 |
LAZ
3 - 0
CAT
60%
22%
17%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2013 |
LAZ
2 - 1
CAG
67%
20%
13%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
SAM
0 - 1
LAZ
30%
27%
44%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | +1 |