Coppa Italia Semi-finals
Global 2-3
Juventus vs Lazio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.8%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
14.5%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juventus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 1998 |
JUV
3 - 0
SAM
68%
18%
14%
|
93 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1998 |
BRE
1 - 1
JUV
17%
24%
60%
|
93 | 75 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1998 |
JUV
3 - 1
ROM
72%
18%
10%
|
93 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1998 |
LEC
0 - 2
JUV
17%
23%
60%
|
93 | 69 | 24 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1998 |
JUV
3 - 1
ATL
81%
14%
6%
|
93 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 1998 |
BAR
0 - 2
LAZ
21%
26%
53%
|
91 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1998 |
LAZ
3 - 1
EMP
85%
11%
4%
|
91 | 74 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1998 |
LAZ
2 - 1
ACM
64%
20%
16%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 1998 |
NAP
0 - 0
LAZ
23%
27%
50%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1998 |
LAZ
1 - 0
BOL
79%
14%
7%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | 0 |