Coppa Italia Last 16
Global 2-0
Juventus vs Lazio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.5%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.4%
3-0
13.3%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.7%
2-0
16%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.3%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.1%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
13.3%
5.2%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juventus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 1987 |
ACM
1 - 1
JUV
29%
28%
43%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1987 |
JUV
3 - 0
EMP
84%
12%
4%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1987 |
AVE
1 - 1
JUV
18%
27%
55%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1987 |
JUV
2 - 1
UDI
79%
14%
7%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1987 |
BRE
0 - 0
JUV
15%
26%
59%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 1987 |
LAZ
3 - 0
PES
58%
25%
17%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1987 |
MES
2 - 0
LAZ
51%
27%
22%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 1987 |
LAZ
1 - 1
PAR
63%
23%
14%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1987 |
VIC
0 - 0
LAZ
52%
28%
20%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1987 |
LAZ
1 - 0
PIS
58%
24%
19%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | +1 |