Juventus vs Lazio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.3%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.8%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.7%
8%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juventus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 1978 |
ACM
0 - 0
JUV
40%
27%
33%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1978 |
JUV
1 - 0
NAP
73%
18%
10%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1978 |
USF
0 - 0
JUV
20%
28%
52%
|
89 | 67 | 22 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1978 |
VIC
0 - 0
JUV
24%
27%
49%
|
89 | 72 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1978 |
JUV
2 - 0
ROM
80%
14%
6%
|
89 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 1978 |
LAZ
0 - 2
ATL
71%
19%
9%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1978 |
VER
2 - 2
LAZ
48%
27%
25%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1978 |
LAZ
0 - 0
GEN
66%
21%
13%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1978 |
BOL
2 - 1
LAZ
48%
27%
26%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 1978 |
LAZ
2 - 0
ACM
41%
27%
33%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | +1 |