Juventus vs Lazio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.5%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.8%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.7%
12.7%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juventus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 1959 |
TRI
0 - 3
JUV
26%
24%
50%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1959 |
JUV
2 - 2
BOL
72%
16%
13%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1958 |
USA
2 - 2
JUV
27%
23%
50%
|
84 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1958 |
JUV
1 - 0
SAM
69%
16%
15%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1958 |
INT
1 - 3
JUV
48%
22%
30%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 1959 |
LAZ
2 - 4
GEN
59%
21%
20%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1959 |
LAZ
3 - 0
VAR
75%
15%
10%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 1959 |
PAD
3 - 1
LAZ
51%
22%
27%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Dec. 1958 |
ACM
5 - 0
LAZ
75%
14%
11%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1958 |
LAZ
2 - 1
BOL
53%
22%
25%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |