Juventus vs Genoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.5%
Win probability
2.79
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.1%
5-0
5.5%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.8%
4-0
9.8%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.6%
3-0
14.1%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.2%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
+1
19.4%
10.6%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
10.6%
3.9%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juventus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 1973 |
USF
0 - 1
JUV
26%
28%
46%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1973 |
BOL
0 - 0
JUV
35%
28%
37%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1973 |
JUV
3 - 1
LAZ
81%
13%
6%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 1973 |
NAP
2 - 0
JUV
22%
31%
47%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1973 |
JUV
2 - 1
USF
86%
10%
4%
|
89 | 66 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 1973 |
GEN
2 - 1
ROM
40%
30%
31%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1973 |
VIC
1 - 1
GEN
58%
26%
16%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 1973 |
GEN
0 - 1
FIO
32%
31%
37%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1973 |
INT
0 - 0
GEN
79%
15%
6%
|
68 | 86 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1973 |
GEN
1 - 0
AVE
62%
19%
19%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | +1 |