Juventus vs Fiorentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.9%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.5%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
19%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19%
10.1%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juventus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 1989 |
VER
1 - 4
JUV
24%
28%
48%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1989 |
JUV
2 - 1
TAR
89%
9%
3%
|
88 | 56 | 32 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1989 |
JUV
1 - 1
BOL
78%
16%
7%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1989 |
CAG
0 - 1
JUV
11%
20%
69%
|
87 | 54 | 33 | +1 |
| 25 Jun. 1989 |
JUV
3 - 0
VER
71%
20%
10%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 1989 |
FIO
0 - 0
GEN
72%
19%
10%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1989 |
FIO
1 - 1
COM
74%
16%
10%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1989 |
BAR
1 - 1
FIO
35%
30%
35%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1989 |
LIC
1 - 3
FIO
27%
24%
49%
|
80 | 59 | 21 | +1 |
| 25 Jun. 1989 |
INT
2 - 0
FIO
73%
18%
9%
|
80 | 89 | 9 | 0 |