Juventus vs Fiorentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.2%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.4%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.1%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.6%
7.1%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juventus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 1985 |
GIR
2 - 0
JUV
50%
25%
25%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1985 |
ASC
1 - 1
JUV
20%
25%
55%
|
89 | 72 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1985 |
JUV
3 - 2
UDI
83%
12%
6%
|
89 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1985 |
JUV
3 - 0
GIR
69%
19%
12%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1985 |
TOR
0 - 2
JUV
29%
27%
44%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 1985 |
FIO
1 - 1
USC
80%
14%
5%
|
81 | 61 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1985 |
INT
1 - 0
FIO
59%
23%
17%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1985 |
FIO
1 - 0
ROM
46%
27%
27%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1985 |
ASC
2 - 1
FIO
39%
28%
33%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1985 |
FIO
1 - 3
VER
53%
25%
22%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |