Juventus vs Fiorentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.8%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.9%
9.4%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juventus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 1981 |
JUV
2 - 0
BOL
76%
16%
8%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1981 |
GEN
2 - 1
JUV
18%
28%
54%
|
87 | 65 | 22 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1981 |
JUV
1 - 1
AND
52%
25%
23%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1981 |
JUV
0 - 1
ROM
68%
20%
13%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1981 |
TOR
0 - 1
JUV
37%
29%
34%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 1981 |
FIO
3 - 2
GEN
70%
21%
10%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1981 |
TOR
0 - 0
FIO
57%
26%
17%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1981 |
CES
2 - 1
FIO
33%
31%
36%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1981 |
FIO
2 - 1
TOR
48%
28%
24%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1981 |
ROM
2 - 0
FIO
59%
24%
17%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |