Juventus vs Fiorentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.4%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
14%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.3%
9.3%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juventus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 1974 |
ROM
3 - 2
JUV
25%
30%
45%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1974 |
CES
0 - 1
JUV
28%
29%
44%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1974 |
INT
0 - 2
JUV
48%
27%
26%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1974 |
JUV
2 - 0
SAM
82%
12%
5%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 1974 |
JUV
1 - 1
CAG
78%
15%
8%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 1974 |
FIO
0 - 0
CES
75%
18%
7%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1974 |
CAG
1 - 0
FIO
42%
30%
28%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1974 |
FIO
0 - 1
VIC
72%
18%
10%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1974 |
FIO
1 - 0
ROM
67%
21%
13%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1974 |
INT
1 - 1
FIO
62%
23%
15%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |