Juventus vs Fiorentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.7%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
28.3%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juventus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 1965 |
SPA
2 - 2
JUV
28%
28%
45%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1965 |
JUV
0 - 0
ROM
65%
21%
15%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1965 |
LIV
2 - 0
JUV
63%
20%
18%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 1965 |
CAT
1 - 1
JUV
29%
27%
44%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1965 |
JUV
4 - 1
VIC
68%
19%
13%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 1965 |
FIO
4 - 1
PAL
77%
15%
8%
|
86 | 65 | 21 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1965 |
FIO
5 - 0
SAM
69%
19%
12%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1965 |
FIO
1 - 0
ACM
36%
26%
39%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1965 |
VIC
2 - 0
FIO
28%
26%
47%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1965 |
FIO
1 - 1
TOR
62%
22%
16%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |