Juventus vs Fiorentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.5%
Win probability
2.76
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
5%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.5%
13%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juventus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 1960 |
JUV
3 - 0
LAZ
89%
7%
3%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1960 |
PAL
1 - 1
JUV
14%
19%
67%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1960 |
JUV
2 - 2
SAM
84%
10%
6%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1960 |
BAR
1 - 3
JUV
16%
20%
64%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1960 |
JUV
3 - 1
ACM
69%
16%
15%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 1960 |
FIO
5 - 3
TOR
86%
10%
4%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1960 |
FIO
2 - 0
GEN
82%
11%
6%
|
87 | 68 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1960 |
BAR
1 - 0
FIO
22%
24%
53%
|
87 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1960 |
FIO
3 - 1
USA
84%
11%
6%
|
87 | 69 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1960 |
SAM
2 - 1
FIO
33%
25%
43%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |