Juventus vs Fiorentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.8%
Win probability
2.77
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.7%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.8%
2-0
9%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.6%
10.6%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juventus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 1949 |
PAD
3 - 0
JUV
29%
24%
47%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1949 |
JUV
4 - 1
NOV
75%
14%
10%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1949 |
ROM
0 - 1
JUV
30%
24%
45%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1949 |
PAL
2 - 0
JUV
24%
24%
52%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1949 |
JUV
4 - 3
PRO
76%
14%
10%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 1949 |
TOR
2 - 0
FIO
88%
8%
4%
|
76 | 91 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1949 |
FIO
0 - 2
INT
39%
23%
37%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1949 |
LAZ
2 - 1
FIO
60%
20%
20%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 May. 1949 |
FIO
5 - 3
TRI
58%
21%
21%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 1949 |
FIO
2 - 1
GEN
50%
23%
27%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |