Juventus vs Fiorentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.8%
Win probability
3.07
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.2%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.6%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.7%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.3%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.5%
12.2%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12.2%
8%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juventus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 1946 |
ACM
3 - 3
JUV
51%
22%
27%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1946 |
JUV
3 - 1
USA
90%
7%
3%
|
86 | 63 | 23 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1946 |
ATL
1 - 3
JUV
34%
25%
41%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 1946 |
NAP
1 - 1
JUV
33%
26%
42%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 1946 |
TOR
1 - 0
JUV
70%
16%
13%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 1946 |
FIO
2 - 2
LIV
59%
19%
22%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1946 |
SAM
1 - 0
FIO
55%
20%
25%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1946 |
FIO
3 - 3
INT
53%
22%
25%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 1946 |
FIO
5 - 0
SIE
83%
11%
7%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1946 |
LIV
1 - 1
FIO
59%
22%
19%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |