Juventus vs Fiorentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.5%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.5%
12%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juventus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 1936 |
BOL
2 - 1
JUV
51%
23%
26%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1936 |
JUV
4 - 0
GEN
77%
14%
9%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1936 |
LAZ
3 - 0
JUV
42%
24%
34%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1936 |
JUV
2 - 1
TOR
77%
14%
9%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1936 |
PAL
1 - 0
JUV
29%
26%
45%
|
89 | 71 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 1936 |
FIO
2 - 0
NAP
49%
24%
27%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1936 |
SAM
1 - 0
FIO
35%
23%
42%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1936 |
FIO
3 - 1
ACM
56%
23%
21%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1936 |
BOL
1 - 0
FIO
64%
19%
18%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1936 |
FIO
3 - 1
TRI
56%
23%
21%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |