Europa League 1/32
Global 4-2
Juventus vs FC Vorwärts Frankfurt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.3%
Win probability
3.36
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.9%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.3%
5-0
5%
6-1
2.5%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
8.2%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
4.5%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.3%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
6.8%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.1%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.6%
10.3%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
10.3%
6.4%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juventus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 1974 |
BOL
2 - 1
JUV
35%
28%
37%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1974 |
AVE
1 - 2
JUV
22%
26%
53%
|
88 | 58 | 30 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1974 |
FVF
2 - 1
JUV
37%
25%
38%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1974 |
JUV
4 - 1
TAR
91%
7%
2%
|
88 | 60 | 28 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1974 |
REG
0 - 2
JUV
10%
22%
68%
|
88 | 61 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
FC Vorwärts Frankfurt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1974 |
FVF
5 - 0
VOR
71%
18%
11%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1974 |
BWA
2 - 1
FVF
33%
23%
43%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1974 |
FVF
2 - 1
JUV
37%
25%
38%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1974 |
LOK
4 - 5
FVF
63%
20%
17%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1974 |
FVF
1 - 2
ERF
70%
18%
12%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |