Champions League Last 16
Global 4-4
Juventus vs Porto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.5%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
17%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juventus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
JUV
3 - 1
LAZ
65%
20%
15%
|
92 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2021 |
JUV
3 - 0
SPE
80%
14%
6%
|
92 | 76 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
VER
1 - 1
JUV
12%
20%
68%
|
92 | 78 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2021 |
JUV
3 - 0
CRO
83%
12%
5%
|
92 | 70 | 22 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2021 |
FCP
2 - 1
JUV
27%
25%
49%
|
92 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
GFC
0 - 2
FCP
9%
18%
73%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2021 |
FCP
2 - 3
SPB
53%
22%
25%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
FCP
0 - 0
SCP
50%
23%
27%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2021 |
MAR
1 - 2
FCP
9%
18%
73%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2021 |
FCP
2 - 1
JUV
27%
25%
49%
|
88 | 92 | 4 | 0 |