Qualif. Champions Tercera ronda Final
Global 6-3
Juventus vs Djurgårdens IF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.3%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.9%
10.8%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juventus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2004 |
SIE
1 - 3
JUV
15%
24%
61%
|
89 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2004 |
JUV
2 - 2
LAZ
60%
22%
18%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2004 |
JUV
2 - 0
SAM
80%
14%
6%
|
89 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2004 |
PRG
1 - 0
JUV
25%
26%
49%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
JUV
3 - 4
LEC
80%
14%
7%
|
90 | 73 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Djurgårdens IF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2004 |
DJU
1 - 1
LAN
74%
17%
10%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2004 |
FBK
0 - 2
DJU
42%
25%
33%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2004 |
KAL
1 - 1
DJU
25%
25%
49%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2004 |
DJU
0 - 0
FBK
62%
20%
18%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 2004 |
DJU
5 - 1
ORE
69%
18%
12%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | +1 |