Champions League Fase Final Last 16
Global 2-3
Juventus vs Chelsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.3%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
10%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
41.1%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juventus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
TOR
0 - 1
JUV
19%
25%
56%
|
89 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2009 |
LAZ
2 - 1
JUV
32%
27%
41%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
JUV
1 - 0
NAP
72%
18%
10%
|
90 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2009 |
CHL
1 - 0
JUV
62%
22%
16%
|
90 | 95 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
PAL
0 - 2
JUV
28%
25%
46%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
COV
0 - 2
CHL
13%
25%
62%
|
95 | 71 | 24 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2009 |
OPA
0 - 1
CHL
19%
25%
55%
|
95 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
CHL
2 - 1
WIG
74%
18%
8%
|
95 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2009 |
CHL
1 - 0
JUV
62%
22%
16%
|
95 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
ASV
0 - 1
CHL
24%
27%
50%
|
95 | 88 | 7 | 0 |