Juventus vs Padova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.7%
Win probability
2.74
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.4%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
15%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15%
11.3%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juventus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec. 1948 |
BOL
3 - 0
JUV
38%
25%
37%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1948 |
JUV
0 - 0
ROM
76%
14%
10%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1948 |
JUV
3 - 2
PAL
80%
13%
8%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1948 |
PRO
0 - 1
JUV
33%
25%
43%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1948 |
JUV
2 - 2
LIV
77%
14%
10%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 1949 |
PAL
1 - 0
PAD
43%
25%
33%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1948 |
INT
1 - 1
PAD
74%
15%
11%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1948 |
PAD
0 - 0
TRI
55%
22%
24%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1948 |
BAR
1 - 0
PAD
36%
26%
39%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 1948 |
ROM
0 - 2
PAD
58%
20%
22%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | +1 |