Juventus vs Brescia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.7%
Win probability
3.09
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.4%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
7%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.3%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.8%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.2%
11.5%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11.5%
6.9%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juventus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 1933 |
JUV
8 - 1
GEN
78%
13%
9%
|
90 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1933 |
INT
3 - 2
JUV
61%
20%
20%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1933 |
JUV
5 - 0
FIO
75%
15%
11%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1933 |
NAP
2 - 0
JUV
37%
27%
36%
|
90 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1933 |
JUV
1 - 1
TRI
81%
12%
7%
|
90 | 74 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 1933 |
BRE
1 - 0
PAD
50%
22%
27%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1933 |
GEN
3 - 1
BRE
63%
19%
18%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1933 |
BRE
2 - 1
USA
43%
24%
33%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1933 |
FIO
2 - 0
BRE
60%
22%
19%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1933 |
BRE
1 - 1
NAP
36%
25%
39%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |