Juventus vs Bologna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.6%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.6%
7.9%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juventus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2009 |
JUV
2 - 2
CHL
31%
28%
41%
|
89 | 95 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
TOR
0 - 1
JUV
19%
25%
56%
|
89 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2009 |
LAZ
2 - 1
JUV
32%
27%
41%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
JUV
1 - 0
NAP
72%
18%
10%
|
90 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2009 |
CHL
1 - 0
JUV
62%
22%
16%
|
90 | 95 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
BOL
3 - 0
SAM
39%
28%
33%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
LAZ
2 - 0
BOL
64%
22%
14%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
BOL
1 - 2
INT
17%
23%
60%
|
76 | 92 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2009 |
NAP
1 - 1
BOL
58%
24%
19%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
UDI
1 - 0
BOL
63%
22%
16%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |