Juventus vs Bologna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.5%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
18.7%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juventus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 1956 |
VIC
3 - 2
JUV
29%
26%
46%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1956 |
JUV
3 - 1
PRO
77%
15%
9%
|
83 | 61 | 22 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1956 |
INT
0 - 2
JUV
62%
20%
18%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1956 |
LAZ
2 - 0
JUV
43%
24%
33%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1956 |
JUV
0 - 0
ACM
39%
22%
39%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 1956 |
BOL
2 - 1
ACM
37%
22%
41%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1956 |
BOL
1 - 0
ROM
63%
19%
18%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1956 |
SAM
2 - 5
BOL
51%
22%
26%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1956 |
BOL
1 - 1
VIC
77%
14%
9%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1956 |
BOL
3 - 1
PAD
76%
15%
9%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |