Juventus vs Bologna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.2%
Win probability
2.91
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.1%
4-0
7%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.2%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.2%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.4%
12.8%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12.8%
8%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juventus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 1954 |
UDI
0 - 2
JUV
24%
23%
53%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1954 |
JUV
2 - 1
UNI
85%
10%
5%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1954 |
JUV
0 - 0
TOR
81%
12%
8%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1954 |
SAM
0 - 1
JUV
27%
23%
49%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1954 |
JUV
0 - 0
LAZ
83%
11%
6%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 1954 |
BOL
2 - 1
SPA
61%
21%
18%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1954 |
FIO
1 - 3
BOL
56%
23%
22%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 1954 |
BOL
0 - 1
INT
35%
25%
40%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1954 |
LAZ
1 - 1
BOL
55%
23%
23%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1954 |
TOR
0 - 1
BOL
53%
23%
24%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |