Juventus vs Bologna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78%
Win probability
2.84
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.5%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.7%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.7%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.8%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.4%
8.6%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juventus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 1948 |
JUV
6 - 0
BAR
82%
11%
7%
|
86 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1948 |
SAL
0 - 0
JUV
19%
21%
60%
|
86 | 66 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1948 |
JUV
3 - 0
FIO
82%
12%
7%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1948 |
JUV
0 - 1
MOD
82%
12%
7%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1948 |
VIC
0 - 1
JUV
31%
24%
45%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 1948 |
BOL
4 - 0
SAL
77%
14%
10%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1948 |
BAR
1 - 1
BOL
29%
26%
44%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 1948 |
NAP
1 - 1
BOL
40%
26%
35%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1948 |
INT
2 - 1
BOL
68%
18%
14%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1947 |
BOL
0 - 0
LAZ
61%
21%
19%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |